In mid-July, the UK’s Meteorological Office (“Met Office”) claimed that over 2,700 people had died in England and Wales during May and June due to heatwaves. It’s not true. Paul Homewood explains why.
The New York Times picked up on the story and publicised climate death statistics for France and Germany as well. If The New York Times is not doing its due diligence on England and Wales, it most likely is not checking the facts for France and Germany either.
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Met Office Heatwave Death Claim Was Fake News
By Paul Homewood, as published by Not A Lot Of People Know That on 6 August 2026
According to The New York Times:
Europeans are being crushed by deadly temperatures.
Record-breaking heatwaves across much of the continent have claimed thousands of lives and created a perfect storm for destructive wildfires, as The New York Times reports.
A staggering number of these deaths, experts urge, are linked to climate change. Britain’s national weather agency, Met Office, said that of the 2,700 deaths in England and Wales believed to be the result of extreme heat so far this season – and we’re barely halfway through summer – around 42 per cent were likely the result of the “human-caused” climate change.
“However, it is clear that human-caused climate change is leading to more frequent and more intense summer heatwaves,” said Mark McCarthy, Met Office’s manager of climate attribution, in a statement. “This intensification is driving many impacts, including those affecting human health and mortality and other issues, such as agriculture, effects on transport infrastructure and biodiversity.”
In addition to the thousands of deaths in England and Wales, France has estimated that roughly a thousand excess deaths and hundreds of hospitalisations were caused by extreme heat, while Germany announced last week that its unprecedented temperatures have so far been linked to about 5,100 deaths.
The Met Office claim was made a few weeks ago:
The claim was fake.
As I pointed out at the time, we did not have the mortality data at the time to make such an irresponsible claim. The “estimate” came from modelling by Imperial College London.
Now we do have the actual data, and it does not support the Met Office’s wild claims:
I have plotted the weekly cumulative death registrations, starting in Week 18, which is the first week in May, and ending in Week 30, which was 24 July this year – this is the latest data available from the Office for National Statistics (“ONS”).
There is no spike in deaths at any stage during 3-month period. Cumulatively there were 136,066 deaths last year and 135,466 this year.
As for the deaths in Europe, it is worth revisiting the Lancet study in 2021, which found that the number of cold-related deaths in Western Europe was four times as great as heat-related ones.
About the Author
Paul Homewood is a British climate change blogger known for his website ‘Not a Lot of People Know That’, which, according to climate catastrophe activist blog DeSmog, has attracted over 12 million visitors since 2011. He is a retired accountant and telecommunications engineer who served as a briefing author for the Global Warming Policy Foundation (“GWPF”).
Featured image: People enjoying the warm weather in the UK. Source: BBC
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Categories: Breaking News, Latest News, UK News